At this time, Ethiopia has been talking about making peace with Erirea, but there few things to consider as far are the current peace proposals by Prime Minister Meles Zenawi of Ethiopia. Our speculation could lead us; either the peace proposal meant to bring temporary solution to the deadlock or attraction other countries to get more involved. In our analytical view, unlikely any peace initiative, this one is different. It could bring concrete solutions to the problems or go the other way. The Prime Minister, Meles Zenawi did not mention anything regarding Badima at all, except by saying “the proposal does not deal with territories that are in dispute, wich means Badima is out of the question. The dominant issue and center focus is still the town of Badima, not Asseb or Zalanbesa. Let’s hypothetically assume on Ethiopian and Eritrean regimes engaged diplomacy during dialogue, I think, it would be difficult to come up with concrete solution to satisfy both parties.
It seems to me, the Ethiopian sides are trying to get Ertirea agreed on some terms through negotiation, then present it to the International community upon agreeable decisions and the remaining borders be marked. If, Eritrea agrees to let go Asseb in return get the symbolic town of Badima, that is the ultimate remedy Ethiopia is looking for and bring the decision to the World to observer.
Another speculation is that, the remaining territory could get obscurely verified and get the UN to mandate on Badima area only for long time to come, declared it no man’s land. This might help both side to concentrate on building peace and fighting poverty rather. Either way, this peace plan is not the hopeful initiative if Eritrea consistently refuses to negotiate. Why would the Prime Minister jeopardize his position at election time, while oppositions are growing triple digit every year. The government hardliners are rigid as ever when it comes to the symbolic town of Badima. The people of Tigray will not swallow a bitter pill given to them by the hands of Eritrea regime. The new peace proposal will not only work, but also bring more confusion. The bottom line is Eritrea regime needs to mend on give and take proposal. That could play a role on the region’s peace and security initiatives. The majority of sixty million Ethiopian are saying, acquire Ethiopia it’s natural sea outlet, and we will guarantee you lasting peace. The year 2005 and beyond will most likely lead these two countries toward passive impasse.